‘Local’ elections which matter

WHO is this?Alastair’s two most recent articles for ‘The Global Lead’ both focus on upcoming ‘local’ elections which matter more than one might imagine from the limited press coverage, ie the 28 October election in the German state of Hesse and the 6 November gubernatorial elections in the US. 
 
Top marks if you can identify the woman in the photo who – spoiler alert – could be Chancellor of Germany in just a few weeks time.
 
 

“It’s the Evangelicals, Stupid!”

On 23 October, Alastair published the seventh in my series of vignettes for ‘The Global Lead’ reflecting on why Donald Trump, campaigning for his party in the midterms, is focusing more on the evangelicals than the economy – and why, whatever the outcome, he is right to do so.

https://mavenroundtable.io/globallead/politics/much-ado-about-everything-no-7-it-s-the-evangelicals-stupid-dIoorKwN6EC6xNQFffsLdQ/

Conservation in Mozambique

Benguerra Island In mid-October, we made a 10-day visit to Mozambique where we had the opportunity to take a first-hand look at the impressive conservation work of both African Parks (in Bazaruto National Park; https://www.africanparks.org/index.php/the-parks/bazaruto) and the Carr Foundation (in Gorongosa National Park; http://www.gorongosa.org/our-story/our-team/greg-carr) – including, in the case of the latter in particular, associated social development programmes. We also had an initial informal exchange about possible Rainforest Trust engagement in Zambia, which relates back to our September visit to Mwinilunga (http://www.alavan.biz/?s=kalahari&submit=Search) and the possibility of launching community conservation projects there. Several strands of follow up are in hand.
 
 
 

Political Risk Vignettes

In the past couple of weeks Alastair has published four more short pieces on political risk in The Global Lead examining the Brazilian and Indian elections, Brexit, oil (which also featured in Arab Digest) and US/China relations.
 
 
 
 

“Much Ado About Everything No 2: Mueller Matters Too”

So to my second vignette for The Global Lead. I doubt there is any argument other than that the Mueller investigation matters; but I nevertheless think it worth dissecting why it (and, on a minor but related diversion, the Kavanaugh confirmation) matters to the outcome of the now imminent midterms and what could happen thereafter.

https://mavenroundtable.io/globallead/politics/much-ado-about-everything-no-2-mueller-matters-too-RGKDRoH0J0StE0-05WIHKQ/

“Much Ado About Everything”

Throughout his 15-year career as a political analyst, one of Alastair’s consistent aims has been to sort the proverbial wheat from the chaff in the daily news flow for the benefit of his clients. As the 24/7 media becomes increasingly frenzied – and the US has in the White House a President who, by Alastair’s assessment, is an outstanding media manipulator – this is becoming both increasingly hard and increasingly important.
 
On 16 September, Alastair therefore launched a new series on The Global Lead entitled ‘Much Ado About Everything’ with precisely this objective in mind. The first article, hyperlinked here, looks at the implications of Paul Manafort’s ‘flip’.
 
 
Much Ado About Everything
 

Where the Kalahari meetsĀ the Congo Basin

Where the Kalahari meets the Congo Landscape
In early September, Clare and Alastair made their first visit to Mwinilunga, guided by top ecologist Frank Willems. The principal reason for their visit was birding in this unique corner of Zambia which offers a rare combination of habitats, ie miombo woodland, dambo and tropical rainforest – and even Afro-montane vegetation. But the trip also enabled an initial exploration by Alavan of our advising possible community conservation projects in the region, as part of our ongoing drive to boost tourism numbers by increasing awareness globally of Zambia’s fantastic but under-appreciated birding proposition.
 
Alastair Newton and Frank Willems

Writings on political risk

The start of this month marked the first anniversary of Alastair’s debut as a contributor to the e-journal, ‘The Global Lead’. Since then, he has averaged one article per week. Th hyperlinks below go to a selection of recent contributions.
 
The Global Lead