Donald Trump: Doubling Down Dangerously

On 28 November, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair looking at Trump-derived political risk between now and the 2020 elections in the US with special reference to China/US relations (including trade) and Iran/oil.
 
 
 

‘Local’ elections which matter

WHO is this?Alastair’s two most recent articles for ‘The Global Lead’ both focus on upcoming ‘local’ elections which matter more than one might imagine from the limited press coverage, ie the 28 October election in the German state of Hesse and the 6 November gubernatorial elections in the US. 
 
Top marks if you can identify the woman in the photo who – spoiler alert – could be Chancellor of Germany in just a few weeks time.
 
 

“It’s the Evangelicals, Stupid!”

On 23 October, Alastair published the seventh in my series of vignettes for ‘The Global Lead’ reflecting on why Donald Trump, campaigning for his party in the midterms, is focusing more on the evangelicals than the economy – and why, whatever the outcome, he is right to do so.

https://mavenroundtable.io/globallead/politics/much-ado-about-everything-no-7-it-s-the-evangelicals-stupid-dIoorKwN6EC6xNQFffsLdQ/

Political Risk Vignettes

In the past couple of weeks Alastair has published four more short pieces on political risk in The Global Lead examining the Brazilian and Indian elections, Brexit, oil (which also featured in Arab Digest) and US/China relations.
 
 
 
 

“Much Ado About Everything”

Throughout his 15-year career as a political analyst, one of Alastair’s consistent aims has been to sort the proverbial wheat from the chaff in the daily news flow for the benefit of his clients. As the 24/7 media becomes increasingly frenzied – and the US has in the White House a President who, by Alastair’s assessment, is an outstanding media manipulator – this is becoming both increasingly hard and increasingly important.
 
On 16 September, Alastair therefore launched a new series on The Global Lead entitled ‘Much Ado About Everything’ with precisely this objective in mind. The first article, hyperlinked here, looks at the implications of Paul Manafort’s ‘flip’.
 
 
Much Ado About Everything
 

Where the Kalahari meets the Congo Basin

Where the Kalahari meets the Congo Landscape
In early September, Clare and Alastair made their first visit to Mwinilunga, guided by top ecologist Frank Willems. The principal reason for their visit was birding in this unique corner of Zambia which offers a rare combination of habitats, ie miombo woodland, dambo and tropical rainforest – and even Afro-montane vegetation. But the trip also enabled an initial exploration by Alavan of our advising possible community conservation projects in the region, as part of our ongoing drive to boost tourism numbers by increasing awareness globally of Zambia’s fantastic but under-appreciated birding proposition.
 
Alastair Newton and Frank Willems

Writings on political risk

The start of this month marked the first anniversary of Alastair’s debut as a contributor to the e-journal, ‘The Global Lead’. Since then, he has averaged one article per week. Th hyperlinks below go to a selection of recent contributions.
 
The Global Lead
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 

Showcasing Livingstone’s Birding Proposition

Waterbird Exhibition Livingstone Museum

“This under-birded country on the interface of Southern and Central Africa still holds vast swathes of miombo woodland, and is the best country in which to see the specialities of this habitat…. Politically stable and safe to visit, as well as boasting good travel infrastructure, it is strange that the country has not become more popular with birders, especially with the added attraction of Victoria Falls and big game in the Luangwa Valley.”

Michael Mills, The Birder’s Guide to Africa (2017)

On 17 August, a new exhibition based on over 20 years of research into Livingstone’s local waterbirds opened to the public at the Livingstone Museum. As such, it showcases a small part — there are over 500 species of birds to be found in the Livingstone area alone — of Zambia’s under-appreciated birding proposition which will hopefully help to get the word out more widely to the global birding community.

The exhibition, which runs until mid-November before going on the road to museums around the country, is being held in association with Birdwatch Zambia, underlining the fact that we sit at the birding crossroads of Africa hosting species not only from our continent’s southern region but, as Michael Mills states, also from the east and the west. 

We at Alavan partnered the Museum by helping pro bono to raise the sponsorship money which made the holding of the exhibition possible (as well as contributing sponsorship money ourselves). We’d like to join the Museum in recording our thanks to the other sponsors, ie: Atlas Mara Zambia (Platinum Sponsor); XproGraphix (like Alavan, Diamond); JollyBoys, Kayube Lodge, Pauch Consultant, PureSkills, Southern Savannah Safaris and Toyota Zambia (all Gold).