On 28 November, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair looking at Trump-derived political risk between now and the 2020 elections in the US with special reference to China/US relations (including trade) and Iran/oil.
In the past couple of weeks Alastair has published four more short pieces on political risk in The Global Lead examining the Brazilian and Indian elections, Brexit, oil (which also featured in Arab Digest) and US/China relations.
So to my second vignette for The Global Lead. I doubt there is any argument other than that the Mueller investigation matters; but I nevertheless think it worth dissecting why it (and, on a minor but related diversion, the Kavanaugh confirmation) matters to the outcome of the now imminent midterms and what could happen thereafter.
On 20 August, Alastair again did what is rapidly becoming a regular double act with the Bank of Singapore’s Chief Economist, Richard Jerram, speaking on political risk at a client conference in Singapore.