TAKING ‘OUTLOOK 2019’ TO ASIA

 
On 29 January, Alastair was a guest speaker at the Bank of Singapore’s outlook for 2019 https://mavenroundtable.io/globallead/politics/outlook-2019-issues-which-keep-me-awake-at-night-xXpyn_HfT0KbLJ8BiLK3JQ/ conference in Bangkok. En route he stopped of in Hong Kong, Singapore and Kuala Lumpur for Nomura International, speaking at nearly 30 meetings in total with investors based in the region.
 

Outlook 2019: Issues which keep me awake at night

On 6 January The Global Lead published an article focusing on Alastair’s top five political risks for 2019
 

Donald Trump: Doubling Down Dangerously

On 28 November, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair looking at Trump-derived political risk between now and the 2020 elections in the US with special reference to China/US relations (including trade) and Iran/oil.
 
 
 

Political Risk Vignettes

In the past couple of weeks Alastair has published four more short pieces on political risk in The Global Lead examining the Brazilian and Indian elections, Brexit, oil (which also featured in Arab Digest) and US/China relations.
 
 
 
 

Writings on political risk

The start of this month marked the first anniversary of Alastair’s debut as a contributor to the e-journal, ‘The Global Lead’. Since then, he has averaged one article per week. Th hyperlinks below go to a selection of recent contributions.
 
The Global Lead
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 

Oil Supply, Trade Wars, Brexit and more.

Throughout February and early March Alastair published several articles discussing the growing global tensions. They are listed below.

 

On 14 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair on the potential threat in the Gulf region to global oil supplies.
 
On 21 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair reflecting on the Mueller investigation and Russia’s hybrid war against the West.
 
On 22 February, The Global Lead published an updated article by Alastair reflecting on developments on the Korean peninsula and their implications.
 
Also on 22 February, The Global Lead published an update by Alastair reflecting on growing trade tensions. 
 
On 26 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair reflecting on the scrapping of presidential term limits in China.
 
On 4 March, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair asking whether we are now in a ‘trade war’ and if not how likely it is that we are heading for one.
 
On 5 March, The Global Lead published an article on Brexit by Alastair complementing his 24 February one on the same subject.