Donald Trump: Doubling Down Dangerously

On 28 November, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair looking at Trump-derived political risk between now and the 2020 elections in the US with special reference to China/US relations (including trade) and Iran/oil.
 
 
 

Oil Supply, Trade Wars, Brexit and more.

Throughout February and early March Alastair published several articles discussing the growing global tensions. They are listed below.

 

On 14 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair on the potential threat in the Gulf region to global oil supplies.
 
On 21 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair reflecting on the Mueller investigation and Russia’s hybrid war against the West.
 
On 22 February, The Global Lead published an updated article by Alastair reflecting on developments on the Korean peninsula and their implications.
 
Also on 22 February, The Global Lead published an update by Alastair reflecting on growing trade tensions. 
 
On 26 February, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair reflecting on the scrapping of presidential term limits in China.
 
On 4 March, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair asking whether we are now in a ‘trade war’ and if not how likely it is that we are heading for one.
 
On 5 March, The Global Lead published an article on Brexit by Alastair complementing his 24 February one on the same subject.
 
 

Kim cals the shots

On 2 January, The Global Lead published Alastair’s thoughts on recent developments on the Korean peninsula.
 
 

Gujarat and the general election

On 26 November Alastair’s thoughts on the upcoming Gujarat state election and its implications for the next Indian general election were published by The Global Lead.
 
 
 
 

The Global Lead

The Global Lead
In August, Alastair formally joined the team of The Global Lead, a web-based channel promoting “education, advocacy and activism to encourage and create positive social and environmental changes”. His third article, on the Trump Administration and Stephen Bannon, was posted on 21 August.