On 28 November, The Global Lead published an article by Alastair looking at Trump-derived political risk between now and the 2020 elections in the US with special reference to China/US relations (including trade) and Iran/oil.
In the past couple of weeks Alastair has published four more short pieces on political risk in The Global Lead examining the Brazilian and Indian elections, Brexit, oil (which also featured in Arab Digest) and US/China relations.
So to my second vignette for The Global Lead. I doubt there is any argument other than that the Mueller investigation matters; but I nevertheless think it worth dissecting why it (and, on a minor but related diversion, the Kavanaugh confirmation) matters to the outcome of the now imminent midterms and what could happen thereafter.
Throughout his 15-year career as a political analyst, one of Alastair’s consistent aims has been to sort the proverbial wheat from the chaff in the daily news flow for the benefit of his clients. As the 24/7 media becomes increasingly frenzied – and the US has in the White House a President who, by Alastair’s assessment, is an outstanding media manipulator – this is becoming both increasingly hard and increasingly important.
On 16 September, Alastair therefore launched a new series on The Global Lead entitled ‘Much Ado About Everything’ with precisely this objective in mind. The first article, hyperlinked here, looks at the implications of Paul Manafort’s ‘flip’.
The start of this month marked the first anniversary of Alastair’s debut as a contributor to the e-journal, ‘The Global Lead’. Since then, he has averaged one article per week. Th hyperlinks below go to a selection of recent contributions.
On 20 August, Alastair again did what is rapidly becoming a regular double act with the Bank of Singapore’s Chief Economist, Richard Jerram, speaking on political risk at a client conference in Singapore.